YES and NO prediction-market sides combining into a one dollar payout

Arbitrage scanner for prediction markets

Live routes to your Telegram - you take the difference, we take $0 of it.

When YES on one venue plus NO on another costs under $1, one side pays $1 at settlement. We scan Kalshi, Polymarket and Opinion every 10 seconds - 15 routes live right now.

Before fees and slippage - not a guarantee

What ArbLense does that you can't do by hand

Gaps you'd never find by hand

ArbLense keeps scanning matched markets across the three live venues. The board stays live instead of relying on a hardcoded claim.

Kalshi, Polymarket and Opinion in one feed

Three venues matched to each other. Opinion is the third one - most scanners stop at two.

Re-checked every 10 seconds

Prices move. A route that stopped working is marked, not left hanging.

Only routes you can actually buy

We read both order books and show room to trade - how many pairs exist at these prices. No theoretical spreads.

Routes come to you in Telegram

Free feed: 5 qualifying routes up to 3.0c, one message per route. PRO carries every qualifying route through the day.

Your money never touches ArbLense

No deposits, no wallet connect. You place both orders yourself on the venues.

This is the feed, live right now

15 routes on the board. 3 qualifying routes are open; 12 remain locked under the shared Scanner access contract.

One recorded route worth unlocking

Best route this week

Resolves: TBDCategory: Cross-venue
Venue hiddenSide hidden
Locked
Venue hiddenSide hidden
Locked
Potential profit+86.5cBest observed in the last 7 daysPeak Aug 24, 10:31 PM PDT
Unlock
Best opportunity

Will Bitcoin be above $139,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Resolves: 1 Jan 2027Outcome: Above $139,999.99
ROI 1.8%Depth 44.7 pairsUpdated Aug 29, 12:35 PM PDT
PolymarketYES
4.2c
KalshiNO
94.0c
Potential profit+1.8cper $1 payout before fees/slippageCost 98.2c -> one side pays $1
Details

Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026

Resolves: 31 Dec 2026Outcome: Exactly 2 cuts
ROI 1.0%Depth 20 pairsUpdated Aug 29, 12:35 PM PDT
PolymarketYES
3.6c
OpinionNO
95.4c
Potential profit+1.0cper $1 payout before fees/slippageCost 99.0c -> one side pays $1
Details

Will Elon Musk be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

Resolves: 7 Nov 2028Outcome: Elon Musk
ROI 0.4%Depth 120,914 pairsUpdated Aug 29, 12:35 PM PDT
KalshiYES
0.3c
PolymarketNO
99.3c
Potential profit+0.4cper $1 payout before fees/slippageCost 99.6c -> one side pays $1
Details

Profit per $1 payout, before fees and slippage. Not a guarantee.

Open the live scanner

Free to look. Your tier is applied automatically, updated every 10 seconds.

Take PRO for 7 days. Nothing is charged today.

Every route above the Free band opens up, and a personal Telegram chat starts sending qualifying routes to you.

$7/week - 7-day trial first

What opens up

Every route on the board

Not just Free-band routes. Every profit figure is per $1 payout before fees and slippage.

Your own Telegram chat

Your PRO chat carries every qualifying route through the day, one message each.

Room to trade on both sides

Depth on both order books, so you know how many pairs a route can take before the price moves.

What changed in 24 hours

Snapshots show whether a gap is closing or keeps coming back.

How the 7 days go

  1. Today

    Nothing is debited today

    Choose USDT TRC-20 or TON and receive a permanent deposit address. PRO opens right away. No prepayment is requested.

  2. Days 1-6

    Use the real inventory

    This is not a demo. Check depth on both sides before you place anything.

  3. Day 5

    Reminder

    We remind you the trial is ending and that the manual $7 invoice opens in two days.

  4. Day 7

    $7 only if you choose to continue

    Send the invoice yourself. Paid PRO starts only after the payment webhook confirms it; otherwise you stay on Free.

Start the 7-day trial

Nothing is debited today. There is no prepayment or automatic charge.

ArbLense Pro is a paid informational service. Profit figures are per $1 payout before fees and slippage. Trading involves venue, liquidity and resolution risk.

Not sure you'll get it right?

Three reads that make the next route obvious.

5 min read

How do I read a route card?

Cost, profit per contract, depth - what each number on a card means and which one decides whether the trade is worth taking.

Read the guide →

3 min read

How does ArbLense find these?

Six steps from picking an event to one side paying $1 at settlement - the whole mechanic on one page.

See how it works →

6 min read

Why do the venues disagree at all?

Where cross-venue gaps come from, how long they last, and what closes them - written for people who trade, not for quants.

Read about arbitrage →
All articles in the blog →

Ready to scan live routes?

The scanner compares Polymarket, Kalshi, and Opinion in real time. All routes display cost, potential profit before fees and slippage, depth on both sides, ROI, and resolution date - all you need to make a decision on one screen.

Launch scanner →

Don't like to see a screen? You can subscribe to the Telegram bot - new routes will be sent to you as soon as they are available.

Informational only - not financial advice.